Climate pressures and supply disruptions push up food prices in Kenya

Food prices have increased in Nairobi and many other parts of Kenya, forcing households to make difficult choices as supplies come under pressure from changing weather conditions, higher distribution costs and disruptions in supply chains.

Some families are purchasing fewer groceries, while others have reduced the number of meals they eat. Jackline Aywa, a mother of three, said the cost of basic items had risen sharply while shopping at a Nairobi centre.

“The cost of food has really gone up, starting with flour, maize and vegetables. Everything is really expensive,” Aywa said.

She described how her household has adjusted its eating pattern as prices have climbed. “If you take black tea in the morning, it’s enough. You skip lunch and come back to have your supper. That’s all,” she said.

Weather and supply pressures

The food-supply difficulties have been linked to shifting weather patterns, reduced farm harvests and rising distribution costs associated with global events. Market vendors have also pointed to transport expenses and interruptions in supply chains.

A dry spell before the expected rains affected agricultural yields in some farming regions. Lower harvests have reduced the amount of food available and contributed to higher prices for consumers.

Livestock have also been affected. A decline in pasture has been linked to a shortage of milk, adding to pressure on households and food sellers.

Jackson Koimburi, a climate change analyst, said Kenya’s dependence on rain-fed agriculture leaves food production exposed to drought and changing weather conditions.

“Most of our agriculture is rain-fed. That means that it depends on the mercies of nature and rainfall,” Koimburi said, adding that changing weather and drought can affect agricultural production.

Vendors under pressure

Food shortages and weaker consumer purchasing power have also affected vendors’ incomes. David, a food seller, said traders were struggling to earn enough money.

“We are persevering and if we get a little money, we are grateful, but things are really hard right now,” he said.

Weather scientists expect heavy rains associated with the El Niño phenomenon to begin soon. The rains could provide relief if they improve supplies and help stabilise prices, but households and vendors are also concerned that unusually heavy downpours could damage produce and drive prices higher.

The outcome remains uncertain. Families are hoping for weather conditions that support food production, while fearing further disruption to crops and distribution.

With Kenya due to hold an election next year, voters may also consider how candidates propose to reduce the effects of food shortages and protect households from rising costs.